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Predicting the Ole Miss vs. Arkansas football game: A data-driven analysis


No. 19 Ole Miss will be hitting the road to face resurgent Arkansas in an important game to avoid falling under .500 in SEC play. Ole Miss improved to 2-2 in conference games after a win against Oklahoma and is in a tight spot heading into November football. Arkansas, two spots ahead in the SEC standings, is coming off a dominant win against Mississippi State.

The latest predictions for the matchup from an expert analytical model that simulates games favor Ole Miss, with the Rebels expected to win outright in 74.2 percent of simulations. The projections show Ole Miss as a 9.4 point favorite against Arkansas and favored to cover the 6.5 point spread. Despite this, a majority of bettors expect Arkansas to make it a close game.

The Football Power Index gives Ole Miss a predicted win total of 9 games this season, while Arkansas is expected to win 6.8 games and have a 98.1 percent chance of being eligible for a bowl game. The FPI rankings and prediction models take into account various analytics and simulations of team performance.

Overall, this SEC matchup between Ole Miss and Arkansas is shaping up to be a closely contested game with playoff implications for Ole Miss. Fans can expect an exciting matchup as both teams battle it out on the field.

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